The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 28.6%
Draw 31.8%
Independiente 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
33.3%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
34.3%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.9%
48.9%
36.2%
Patronato Parana - Independiente Predictions
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 7 - 14.9%). Independiente will win (votes: 17 - 36.2%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 48.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.6% – 63.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 25 and 10).
Patronato has the most likely position - 23 (100%), has project points - 25, has currently - 25, has not chance of win league.
Independiente has the most likely position - 9 (100%), has project points - 38, has currently - 38, has not chance of win league.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1.
Recent matches Patronato is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Independiente is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Patronato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Independiente will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-10.
Watch
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