The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paykan 21.4%
Draw 27.2%
Esteghlal 51.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.8%
30.7%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.4%
30%
53.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paykan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paykan than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Paykan - Esteghlal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): -1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Abbasi A. (G) 40. Gerami F. 14. Tavakoli S. 18. Madadizadeh A. 73. Azadmanesh A. 8. Najafi M. 25. Bagheri F. 11. Amiri F. 00. Aarabi A. 9. Emamali F. 80. Sadeghi A.
76. Farabbasi H. (G) 2. Hardani S. 5. Ashurmatov R. 19. Fallah S. 33. Jalali A. 4. Cheshmi R. 8. Razzaghinia A. 70. Asani J. 17. Munir El Haddadi 20. Koushki A. 7. Azadi M. R.
Substitutes
83. Ahmadi H. 27. Ali Faramarzi M. 23. Azarpad M. 22. Esfandiari E. (G) 2. Gholami A. H. 0. Hadian E. 10. Jafari S. 77. Jamshidi E. 70. Karami I. 4. Salami B.
23. Aghasi A. 88. Ahmadi M. 80. Eslami M. 55. Gholami A. 87. Gholizadeh E. 27. Goudarzi H. 60. Hosseinifar S. (G) 9. Nazon D. 11. Saharkhizan S. 3. Sohrabian A. 15. Zamani A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Cheshmi R. ↓, Ahmadi M. ↑,
29', Bagheri F. 🟨,
42', Najafi M. 🟨,
45+2', Azadi M. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Bagheri F. ↓, Karami I. ↑,
61', Ahmadi M. ↓, Nazon D. ↑,
61', Azadi M. R. ↓, Saharkhizan S. ↑,
67', Sadeghi A. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Azadmanesh A. ⚽, Amiri F. (A),
90+7', Gerami F. 🟨,
90+7', Jalali A. ↓, Goudarzi H. ↑,
90+7', Najafi M. ↓, Salami B. ↑,
90+7', Aarabi A. ↓, Jamshidi E. ↑,
90+10', 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paykan won 0.
Paykan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Esteghlal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Paykan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Esteghlal is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paykan won 0 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:29. (average 0.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Paykan won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.4:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Paykan
7
2
2
3
5:6
-1
8
Last Results with these Odds
Esteghlal - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 52.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.