Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 17

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Foolad Shahr Stadium (Isfahan)


	Zob Ahan		Esteghlal

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.25
	4.85	2.72	1.95
	3.37	3.11	2.18	Watch
	4.5	2.63	1.95
	5.16	2.82	1.92	Watch
	4.5	2.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.7)	2.84 ↑ (2.7)	2.03 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zob Ahan
21.8%

Draw
32.6%

Esteghlal
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

33.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

32.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zob Ahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zob Ahan than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Zob Ahan - Esteghlal Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Zob Ahan will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Esteghlal will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Esteghlal (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Esteghlal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Esteghlal (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Noushi Soufiani D. (G) 88. Shoushtari H. 6. Mohammadi N. 4. Ghaderi A. 3. Ghahremani E. 79. Khaghani S. 14. Mokhtari P. 17. Jalaleddin A. 19. Ghazipour P. 23. Kazemi A. . Khalid Ali M.	76. Farabbasi H. (G) 2. Hardani S. 5. Ashurmatov R. 19. Fallah S. 27. Goudarzi H. 8. Razzaghinia A. 4. Cheshmi R. 80. Eslami M. 87. Gholizadeh E. 11. Saharkhizan S. 20. Koushki A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Mokhtari P. ↓, Entezari N. ↑,
37', Hardani S. 🟨,
45', Khaghani S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ghahremani E. ↓, Jeddi A. ↑,
58', Shoushtari H. ↓, Mortazavi A. ↑,
61', Ashurmatov R. 🟨,
62', Eslami M. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
65', Khalid Ali M. ↓, Pahlevan E. ↑,
65', Khaghani S. ↓, Latifi O. ↑,
76', Goudarzi H. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
83', Hardani S. ↓, Zamani A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zob Ahan won 1.

Zob Ahan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Esteghlal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Esteghlal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Esteghlal could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zob Ahan won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zob Ahan won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Zob Ahan	6	1	3	2	3:5	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zob Ahan
Iran Pro League
16.01.26	Paykan - Zob Ahan	2:0 ✺
25.12.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Zob Ahan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
09.12.25	Zob Ahan - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
04.12.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTTT
- Esteghlal FC
Iran Pro League
18.01.26	Esteghlal - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
13.01.26	Foolad Hormozgan - Esteghlal	0:2 ✺
Iran Pro League
01.01.26	Sepahan - Esteghlal	1:2 ✺
28.12.25	Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
24.12.25	Al-Muharraq - Esteghlal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
26.08.25	Esteghlal - Zob Ahan	3:3
16.03.25	Zob Ahan - Esteghlal	1:1
18.10.24	Esteghlal - Zob Ahan	0:3
06.05.24	Esteghlal - Zob Ahan	2:1
25.11.23	Zob Ahan - Esteghlal	1:1
31.03.23	Esteghlal - Zob Ahan	2:0
14.10.22	Zob Ahan - Esteghlal	0:1

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