Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 17

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Ghadir Stadium (Ahvaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	Khozestan TV


	Esteghlal Khuzestan		Paykan

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	2.8
	2.58	2.52	3.2
	2.68	2.84	2.84	Watch
	2.63	2.45	3
	2.72	2.4	3.44
	2.54	2.36	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.68)	2.55 ↓ (2.84)	3.11 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Esteghlal Khuzestan
34.8%

Draw
35.8%

Paykan
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Paykan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paykan than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Esteghlal Khuzestan - Paykan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kia M. (G) 77. Ahmadi M. M. 66. Mehdizadeh M. 21. Pourshijani A. 11. Koohi A. 16. Jalalivand A. 88. Zavari M. 8. Bouhamdan H. 29. Latifi G. 23. Farhadi A. 3. Abbasi A.	13. Abbasi A. (G) 18. Madadizadeh A. 14. Tavakoli S. 40. Gerami F. 77. Azadmanesh A. 70. Karami I. 5. Bagheri M. . Ahmadi H. 11. Amiri F. 9. Emamali F. 80. Sadeghi A.
Substitutes
. Abolfazi J. 4. Ahle S. M. 60. Baghaki S. D. 48. Fallahian M. R. 15. Karami A. 26. Khoshbakht M. 13. Mousavi M. 7. Rostami A. 6. Sharifi M. . Soleimani A. 34. Zergani J.	27. Ali Faramarzi M. 44. Alimoradi A. 23. Azarpad M. 22. Esfandiari E. (G) . Gholami A. H. 10. Jafari S. . Jamshidi E. 8. Najafi M. 4. Salami B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Karami I. 🟨,
45', Koohi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Karami I. ↓, Jafari S. ↑,
46', Ahmadi H. ↓, Najafi M. ↑,
59', Jafari S. 🟨,
70', Sadeghi A. ↓, Jamshidi E. ↑,
71', Farhadi A. ↓, Rostami A. ↑,
82', Pourshijani A. 🟨,
82', Pourshijani A. ↓, Baghaki S. D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Paykan	7	2	2	3	5:6	-1	8
15	Esteghlal Khuzestan	7	1	3	3	4:9	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Pro League
18.01.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
25.12.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	2:0 ✺
15.12.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
04.12.25	Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLLT
- Paykan
Iran Pro League
16.01.26	Paykan - Zob Ahan	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Paykan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.12.25	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Paykan	0:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
14.12.25	Tractor Sazi - Paykan	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Paykan - Persepolis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
25.08.25	Paykan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1
Iran Hazfi Cup
23.11.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Paykan	0:1
Iran Pro League
07.04.24	Paykan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0
05.10.23	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Paykan	0:1
Iran Hazfi Cup
11.01.23	Paykan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0
Iran Pro League
07.03.19	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Paykan	0:1
30.08.18	Paykan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0

Upcoming Matches