The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Águia de Marabá 22.1%
Draw 27.9%
Paysandu 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
27.3%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
28.2%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Águia de Marabá's form might have worsened.
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paysandu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águia de Marabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paysandu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Águia de Marabá - Paysandu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
29', 1 - 0, JP Bardales ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Lucas Cardoso ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
70', 1 - 3, Marcinho ⚽,
74', 1 - 4, Thalyson ⚽,
89', 1 - 5, Kleiton Pego ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águia de Marabá won 0.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Paysandu could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Águia de Marabá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 10:31. (average 0.7:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Águia de Marabá won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.8:2.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Paysandu - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.85%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.