The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paysandu 52.7%
Draw 28.1%
Tuna Luso Brasileira 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.2%
24.4%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
23.7%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.
Tuna Luso Brasileira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Paysandu - Tuna Luso Brasileira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 31. Bonifazi F. 15. Castro 2. Edilson 5. Henrico 39. Henrique P. 9. Italo 75. Kleiton 4. larley 10. Marcinho (C) 19. Thayllon
1. Vinicius 18. Afonso F. 7. Alves J. 4. Amaral 11. Bilau 14. Kaue 13. Lua Niger 2. Marcio 8. Paulinho 9. Paulo Rangel 6. Wesley Raizeman
Substitutes
21. Angelo M. 8. Caio Mello 29. Caua 17. Henrique Salomoni 57. JP Galvao 94. Kaua Hinkel 40. Levi S. 26. Libonati 6. Lucca Carvalho 20. Matheus Capixaba 11. Peu D. 30. Thalyson
20. Adauto Junior 22. Alan Maia 12. Antonio 19. Clair S. 16. Diego 21. Emerson Nike 10. Filipe Trindade 3. Gabriel 23. Iarley 15. Jean 5. Leo Caete 17. Otavio
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
15', larley 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Paulo Rangel (Penalty Awarded),
23', Amaral 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Kleiton (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', 2 - 1, Italo (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Paulinho ↓, Leo Caete ↑,
49', 3 - 1, larley ⚽,
60', Henrico ↓, Caio Mello ↑,
60', Bilau ↓, Emerson Nike ↑,
60', Alves J. ↓, Otavio ↑,
64', 4 - 1, Italo ⚽,
67', Kaue ↓, Filipe Trindade ↑,
70', Kleiton 🟨,
72', Marcinho ↓, JP Galvao ↑,
72', Thayllon ↓, Thalyson ↑,
72', Kleiton ↓, Kaua Hinkel ↑,
75', Emerson Nike 🟨,
83', Italo ↓, Angelo M. ↑,
83', Afonso F. ↓, Adauto Junior ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Henrique P. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 3.
Paysandu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tuna Luso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Paysandu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Paysandu is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
Watch
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Gabriel Mesquita (G) 
Bonifazi F. 
Henrico 
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