Match Info

3. Lig Group 3 - Round 21

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday


	Pazarspor		Aliaga

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.25	1.76
	4.54	3.44	1.73
	4.4	3.15	1.86
	4.5	3.25	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (2.81)	3.27 ↑ (3.02)	1.78 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pazarspor
20.4%

Draw
28%

Aliaga
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pazarspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pazarspor's form might have worsened.

Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pazarspor than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pazarspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aliaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pazarspor - Aliaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', Atilla E. 🟥,
90+5', 0 - 1, Nizam B. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs).

Pazarspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aliaga is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pazarspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pazarspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pazarspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
22.03.25	Pazarspor - 52 Orduspor	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Çorluspor - Pazarspor	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Pazarspor - Alanya 1221	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Çankaya - Pazarspor	4:3 ✺
16.02.25	Karabük İdmanyurdu - Pazarspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLT
- Aliaga FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
26.03.25	52 Orduspor - Aliaga	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Aliaga - Çorluspor	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Alanya 1221 - Aliaga	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Aliaga - Çankaya	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Karabük İdmanyurdu - Aliaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
13.10.24	Aliaga - Pazarspor	0:0

Pazarspor - Aliaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide