Match Info
2. Lig Red Group - Round 6Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Somaspor |
|
Aliaga |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
19.5 |
6.5 |
1.13 |
|
 |
20.65 |
7.05 |
1.12 |
|
 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
1.03 |
 Watch |
 |
12.4 |
6.44 |
1.18 |
|
 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
1.65 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.65 ↑
(4.87) |
4.86 ↑
(3.32) |
1.22 ↓
(1.71) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Somaspor
7.7% | Draw
18.5% | Aliaga
73.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Somaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Somaspor's form might have worsened.Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliaga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Somaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-19%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aliaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Somaspor - Aliaga Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Aliaga (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aliaga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliaga (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Acikgoz M. ⚽, Kanci O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 64', 0 - 2, Yilmaz G. ⚽, Acikgoz M. (A),
- 67', 0 - 3, Acikgoz M. ⚽, Sarikaya M. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).Somaspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Aliaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Somaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Aliaga is the undeniable favorite. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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