Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 30Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
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Peña Balsamaiso |
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Haro Deportivo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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8.5 |
4.65 |
1.29 |
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8.61 |
5 |
1.29 |
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8.72 |
4.85 |
1.31 |
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9 |
4.5 |
1.3 |
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9.4 |
4.8 |
1.27 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.85 ↑
(7.92) |
4.76 ↑
(4.63) |
1.29 ↓
(1.33) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Peña Balsamaiso
10.3% | Draw
19.1% | Haro Deportivo
70.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Haro Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)Peña Balsamaiso - Haro Deportivo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Urrecho Ruiz M. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 2, Urrecho Ruiz M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 57', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 3, Zunzu ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 4, Urrecho Ruiz M. ⚽,
- 83', 2 - 5, Zunzunegui G. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 2.Peña Balsamaiso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).Haro Deportivo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Peña Balsamaiso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Haro Deportivo is the clear favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 | | | 07.12.25 | Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso | 3:0 | | 09.02.25 | Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso | 1:2 | | 29.09.24 | Peña Balsamaiso - Haro Deportivo | 1:2 | | 10.03.24 | Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso | 1:2 | | 21.10.23 | Peña Balsamaiso - Haro Deportivo | 1:1 | | 26.03.23 | Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso | 1:1 | | 26.11.22 | Peña Balsamaiso - Haro Deportivo | 2:1 |
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