Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Peña Balsamaiso		Villegas

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.2	2.15
	3.78	3.41	1.89
	3.45	3.33	2.01	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.19	3.14	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.14)	3.2 ↑ (3.2)	2.08 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Balsamaiso
27.6%

Draw
28.5%

Villegas
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

28.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Villegas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Peña Balsamaiso - Villegas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Villegas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.03.26	Calahorra - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Peña Balsamaiso - Comillas	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Vianés - Peña Balsamaiso	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo	1:5 ✺
21.02.26	San Marcial - Peña Balsamaiso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTLL
- CD Villegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.03.26	Villegas - Autol	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Berceo - Villegas	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Villegas - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:5 ✺
01.03.26	Oyonesa - Villegas	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Villegas - Pradejón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
15.11.25	Villegas - Peña Balsamaiso	3:2

Peña Balsamaiso - Villegas