Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Vianés		Peña Balsamaiso

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.35	6.7
	1.33	4.79	8.11
	3.70	3.02	2.08	Watch
	1.33	4.2	8.5
	1.32	4.45	8.35
	1.41	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.41)	4.12 ↑ (3.9)	6.52 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vianés
59.2%

Draw
25%

Peña Balsamaiso
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

22.3%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.6%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vianés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vianés than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vianés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Vianés - Peña Balsamaiso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vianés won 2.

Vianés is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peña Balsamaiso is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Vianés is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vianés won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vianés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Vianes	5	0	1	4	5:10	-5	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Vianés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.03.26	Autol - Vianés	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Vianés - Berceo	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	UD Logroñés Promesas - Vianés	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Vianés - Oyonesa	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Pradejón - Vianés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLWW
- Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.03.26	Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo	1:5 ✺
21.02.26	San Marcial - Peña Balsamaiso	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Peña Balsamaiso - La Calzada	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Varea - Peña Balsamaiso	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Peña Balsamaiso - Yagüe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.10.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Vianés	0:0
14.12.24	Peña Balsamaiso - Vianés	3:4
31.03.24	Peña Balsamaiso - Vianés	1:0
12.11.23	Vianés - Peña Balsamaiso	1:1
09.04.23	Vianés - Peña Balsamaiso	1:0
11.12.22	Peña Balsamaiso - Vianés	0:0

Vianés - Peña Balsamaiso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide