Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Peña Balsamaiso		Varea

	1	X	2
	4.83	3.69	1.6
	25.00	12.78	1.00	Watch
	5.01	3.75	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.61 ↑ (5.11)	6.74 ↑ (3.9)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Balsamaiso
9%

Draw
15.6%

Varea
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

23.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.

Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varea's recent form is better than expected.

Peña Balsamaiso - Varea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, ⚽,
83', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 2.

Varea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Varea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Varea has had a series of home games.

In this match, Varea is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
19.09.25	Yagüe - Peña Balsamaiso	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Berceo	2:2 ✺
11.05.25	Tedeón - Peña Balsamaiso	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Peña Balsamaiso - River Ebro	0:1 ✺
16.04.25	Oyonesa - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLL
- CD Varea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
19.09.25	Varea - Autol	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Varea - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
14.09.25	Berceo - Varea	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Varea - Moralo	2:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.09.25	Varea - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
30.03.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Varea	0:0
17.11.24	Varea - Peña Balsamaiso	0:1
17.03.24	Peña Balsamaiso - Varea	3:2
28.10.23	Varea - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0
05.02.23	Varea - Peña Balsamaiso	0:0
02.10.22	Peña Balsamaiso - Varea	2:0

Peña Balsamaiso - Varea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide