Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Mercadal

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.25	6.7
	1.4	4.3	7.31
	1.5	3.94	6.84
	1.26	5.05	9.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.82)	4.39 ↑ (3.25)	7.55 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
66.7%

Draw
21.1%

Mercadal
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peña Deportiva's performance.

Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercadal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Peña Deportiva - Mercadal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Montori A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Peña Deportiva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peña Deportiva is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
05.10.25	Binissalem - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Peña Deportiva - Felanitx	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Constancia - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Portmany - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Peña Deportiva - Rotlet Molinar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW
- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
04.10.25	Mercadal - Portmany	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Rotlet Molinar - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Mercadal - Collerense	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Santanyí - Mercadal	3:0 ✺
11.05.25	Campos - Mercadal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLW

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