Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Campos		Mercadal

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.78
	3.65	3.3	1.91
	3.74	3.31	1.79
	3.87	3.52	1.83	Watch
	3.92	3.54	1.78
	3.65	3.3	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.72)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campos
24.1%

Draw
26.6%

Mercadal
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.9%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

21.4%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campos than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Campos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercadal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Campos - Mercadal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Campos (votes: 2 - 50%). Mercadal (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Campos is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mercadal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Campos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mercadal is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Campos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Campos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Campos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.05.25	Penya Independent - Campos	3:0 ✺
24.04.25	Campos - Platges de Calvià	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Constancia - Campos	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Campos - Porreres	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Binissalem - Campos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
03.05.25	Mercadal - Felanitx	7:0 ✺
26.04.25	Formentera - Mercadal	4:0 ✺
17.04.25	Mercadal - Poblense	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Collerense - Mercadal	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Llosetense - Mercadal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.01.25	Mercadal - Campos	3:0
23.03.22	Campos - Mercadal	1:1

Campos - Mercadal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide