The best margin for this event is 11.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peña Deportiva 36.3%
Draw 27.3%
Orihuela 36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
26.1%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Peña Deportiva have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Orihuela have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
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2
0%
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Peña Deportiva - Orihuela Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 10th).
Peña Deportiva is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Orihuela has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Peña Deportiva may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Orihuela has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Peña Deportiva has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Peña Deportiva against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Orihuela
5
2
1
2
6:11
-5
7
18
Pena Deportiva
5
0
1
4
3:8
-5
1
Last Results with these Odds
Orihuela - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.34%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.