Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 29

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday


	Pelikan Łowicz		Błonianka Błonie

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.1
	1.9	4	3
	1.93	3.99	2.92
	2.07	3.52	3.14	Watch
	1.95	3.9	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.65)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)	3.02 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelikan Łowicz
46.1%

Draw
23.9%

Błonianka Błonie
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

23.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

22.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelikan Łowicz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pelikan Łowicz's form might have worsened.

Błonianka Błonie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Błonianka Błonie's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pelikan Łowicz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Błonianka Błonie than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Błonianka Błonie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pelikan Łowicz - Błonianka Błonie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Pelikan will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pelikan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Pelikan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pelikan Łowicz	2:2 ✺
30.04.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Legionovia Legionowo	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Unia Skierniewice - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Pelikan Łowicz - ŁKS Łódź II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTLL
- Błonianka Błonie
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.23	Błonianka Błonie - Warta Sieradz	0:2 ✺
06.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Błonianka Błonie	1:1 ✺
28.04.23	Błonianka Błonie - Legia II	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Błonianka Błonie	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Błonianka Błonie - Mławianka Mława	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.10.22	Błonianka Błonie - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1
01.06.22	Błonianka Błonie - Pelikan Łowicz	3:1
31.10.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Błonianka Błonie	2:3
21.04.21	Błonianka Błonie - Pelikan Łowicz	2:2
15.11.20	Pelikan Łowicz - Błonianka Błonie	1:0

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