Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 13

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday


	Penapolense		Barretos

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.82	3.7
	2.05	2.79	3.86
	2.06	2.9	3.82	Watch
	2.05	2.63	3.8
	2.04	2.81	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.99)	2.79 ↓ (3.22)	3.82 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penapolense
44%

Draw
32.3%

Barretos
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penapolense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Barretos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barretos than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Penapolense - Barretos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Penapolense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Penapolense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Penapolense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Penapolense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Penapolense	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Penapolense - Jabaquara	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Nacional SP - Penapolense	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Penapolense - Inter de Bebedouro	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Lemense FC - Penapolense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWTL
- Barretos EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.03.26	São Caetano - Barretos	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Barretos - Inter de Bebedouro	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Jacareí - Barretos	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Barretos - Araçatuba	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Barretos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.03.25	Barretos - Penapolense	0:2
24.03.24	Penapolense - Barretos	0:1

Penapolense - Barretos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide