Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 12

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Penapolense		Grêmio Osasco Audax

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.87
	2.45	2.95	2.8
	2.42	3.04	2.76
	2.45	3.13	2.78	Watch
	2.36	3.18	2.69
	2.45	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.22)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.78 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penapolense
37.9%

Draw
29.6%

Grêmio Osasco Audax
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

30.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penapolense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Grêmio Osasco Audax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Osasco Audax than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Penapolense - Grêmio Osasco Audax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Prates ⚽,
4', 1 - 1, Leozinho ⚽,
12', 2 - 1, Leozinho (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 2 - 2, Prates ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: ) and 14).

Penapolense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Audax is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Audax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Penapolense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Penapolense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Penapolense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
01.03.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Penapolense	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Penapolense - Taquaritinga	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Jabaquara - Penapolense	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Penapolense - Nacional SP	0:3 ✺
12.02.25	Penapolense - Colorado Caieiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLLT
- Grêmio Osasco Audax
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
05.03.25	União Barbarense - Grêmio Osasco Audax	3:0 ✺
26.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - São Caetano	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Matonense	3:2 ✺
19.02.25	Taquaritinga - Grêmio Osasco Audax	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Barretos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
30.03.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Penapolense	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.02.20	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Penapolense	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
29.03.15	Penapolense - Grêmio Osasco Audax	3:0
11.03.14	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Penapolense	2:0

Penapolense - Grêmio Osasco Audax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide