Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 9

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Jabaquara		Penapolense

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.05
	3.46	2.92	2.11
	3.5	3.07	2.1	Watch
	3.02	3.23	2.34
	3.6	3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.85)	3.04 ↑ (2.75)	2.13 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jabaquara
26.7%

Draw
30.2%

Penapolense
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

33.1%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

31.1%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jabaquara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jabaquara's form might have worsened.

Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penapolense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penapolense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jabaquara - Penapolense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B (First stage: ) and 12).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Penapolense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jabaquara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jabaquara AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
18.02.25	Joseense - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Nacional SP - Jabaquara	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Jabaquara - Paulista	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Jabaquara - Grêmio Osasco Audax	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Inter de Bebedouro - Jabaquara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLTW
- CA Penapolense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
19.02.25	Penapolense - Nacional SP	0:3 ✺
12.02.25	Penapolense - Colorado Caieiras	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Joseense - Penapolense	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	Penapolense - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Paulista - Penapolense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
24.02.24	Penapolense - Jabaquara	4:1

Jabaquara - Penapolense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide