Match Info

Date: 4 April 2021, Sunday


	Penarol		Clipper

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.4
	1.65	3.4	4.2
	1.62	3.9	4.2
	1.62	4.4	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)	3.83 ↑ (3.58)	4.24 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penarol
55.1%

Draw
23.6%

Clipper
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

14.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Clipper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penarol than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penarol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clipper than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clipper could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Amazonense (Play Offs) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Amazonense (Play Offs)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Clipper have a series of home games.

In this match Penarol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penarol AC
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
29.03.21	Penarol - Nacional AM	2:1 ✺
25.03.21	Amazonas - Penarol	1:0 ✺
22.03.21	Penarol - Manaus	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.21	Penarol - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
14.03.21	Princesa do Solimões - Penarol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLTT
- Atlético Clipper
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
31.03.21	Clipper - Amazonas	2:4 ✺
27.03.21	Clipper - São Raimundo Manaus	1:1 ✺
24.03.21	Clipper - Nacional AM	1:0 ✺
20.03.21	Clipper - Itacoatiara	1:1 ✺
12.03.21	Manaus - Clipper	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWTL

Penarol - Clipper: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide