Match Info

Date: 29 March 2021, Monday


	Penarol		Nacional AM

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.55	3.3	2.28
	2.85	3.4	2.15
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.86	3.32	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.61)	3.3 ↓ (3.42)	2.29 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penarol
33.3%

Draw
27.3%

Nacional AM
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.9%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

19.2%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penarol than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penarol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional AM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Amazonense (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Amazonense (Play Offs)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Penarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penarol AC
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
25.03.21	Amazonas - Penarol	1:0 ✺
22.03.21	Penarol - Manaus	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.21	Penarol - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
14.03.21	Princesa do Solimões - Penarol	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Penarol - Iranduba da Amazônia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTW
- Nacional AM
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
24.03.21	Clipper - Nacional AM	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Amazonas - Nacional AM	2:2 ✺
11.03.21	Nacional AM - Iranduba da Amazônia	7:0 ✺
07.03.21	Nacional AM - São Raimundo Manaus	3:2 ✺
23.02.21	Nacional AM - Manaus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWWL

Penarol - Nacional AM: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide