Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 32

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Pendik Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Pendikspor		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.6	3.35	2.65	Watch
	2.67	3.4	2.75
	2.68	3.38	2.75
	2.45	3.5	2.62
	2.61	3.58	2.76	Watch
	2.48	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.82)	3.41 ↓ (3.6)	2.68 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pendikspor
36.8%

Draw
27.8%

İstanbul Başakşehir
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

26.1%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

25.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pendikspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbul Başakşehir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbul Başakşehir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Pendikspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pendikspor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canpolat E. (G) 61. Asan S. 33. Ozturk A. 23. Welinton 6. Sequeira 5. Ndiaye B. 66. Lusamba A. 11. Akbunar H. 18. Midtsjo F. 27. Thiam M. 17. Nayir U.	16. Sengezer M. (G) 42. Sahiner O. (C) 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 15. Dubois L. 10. Ozcan B. 20. Kemen O. 23. Turuc D. 14. Pelkas D. 11. Davidson 25. Figueiredo J.
Substitutes
13. Akca M. 21. Diaby A. 90. Eze E. 7. Kappel L. 58. Kaya G. 35. Ogur B. (G) 22. Ozgenc E. 14. Rassoul J. K. 3. Tasdemir E. 99. Yardimci E.	19. Abeid M. 8. Aleksic D. 1. Babacan V. (G) 4. Ergun O. 65. Gureler H. 26. Ilkhan E. 17. Keny P. P. 6. Lima L. 89. Souza 21. Tekdemir M.
Coaches
Uzulmez I.	Atan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Thiam M. ⚽, Sequeira (A),
31', Welinton 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Figueiredo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Figueiredo J. ⚽, Pelkas D. (A),
57', 2 - 2, Midtsjo F. ⚽,
59', Welinton 🟨,
63', Akbunar H. ↓, Akca M. ↑,
65', Sahiner O. 🟨,
71', Nayir U. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
71', Midtsjo F. ↓, Ozgenc E. ↑,
79', Duarte L. ↓, Lima L. ↑,
79', Kemen O. ↓, Ilkhan E. ↑,
80', Sequeira 🟨,
81', 2 - 3, Pelkas D. ⚽,
84', Davidson ↓, Souza ↑,
88', Thiam M. ↓, Diaby A. ↑,
89', Pelkas D. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
89', Figueiredo J. ↓, Keny P. P. ↑,
90+1', Ndiaye B. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 8).

Pendikspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Başakşehir is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pendikspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pendikspor
Turkish Super League
04.04.24	Samsunspor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Pendikspor - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Fenerbahçe - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
03.03.24	Pendikspor - Konyaspor	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Sivasspor - Pendikspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLL
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
04.04.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Ankaragücü - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.02.24	Trabzonspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
27.11.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Pendikspor	4:1

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