Match Info

1. Lig - Round 33

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pendik Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Pendikspor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.4	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.35	3.32	2.96	Watch
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.44	3.29	2.82	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.2)	3.26 ↓ (3.35)	2.83 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pendikspor
38.9%

Draw
28.4%

Ankaragücü
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Pendikspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ankaragücü (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pendikspor will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pendikspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pendikspor (votes: 4 - 80%). Ankaragücü (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Koyuncu E. (G) 15. Kitsiou S. 5. Sulungoz B. 33. Ozturk A. 6. Sequeira 98. Topalli J. 11. Denic D. 41. Ozdemir M. (C) 28. Del Valle Y. 90. Eze E. 60. Karadeniz B.	1. Ersu E. (G) 16. Cokcalis I. 21. Tekdemir M. 4. Cetin M. 3. Pehlivan I. 40. Gultekin Y. 88. Celik O. 7. Owusu 11. Dalcio 9. Bajic R. 29. Cephas R.
Substitutes
17. Asatekin S. 72. Aydin E. 1. Canpolat E. (G) 7. Demir M. 66. Dogan F. 22. Pektemek M. 10. Saiz S. 14. Sayhan E. 81. Tekdal T. 80. Tunc Atac A.	24. Aktas O. 77. Bilazer H. 91. Cihan G. (G) 5. Coelho D. 23. Guneren A. K. 30. Kesik M. 94. Laura G. 10. Rakoczy M. 26. Schulz N. 6. Turkmen C.
Coaches
Ucar U.	Bakkal M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Owusu ⚽, Cephas R. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Ozdemir M. ⚽, Del Valle Y. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Eze E. ⚽, Denic D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Ozturk A. ↓, Tekdal T. ↑,
67', Gultekin Y. ↓, Laura G. ↑,
67', Ersu E. ↓, Cihan G. ↑,
74', Sulungoz B. 🟨,
74', Cetin M. 🟨,
76', Karadeniz B. ↓, Asatekin S. ↑,
76', Del Valle Y. ↓, Dogan F. ↑,
81', Cephas R. ↓, Guneren A. K. ↑,
86', Topalli J. 🟨,
88', Kitsiou S. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
89', Topalli J. ↓, Pektemek M. ↑,
90+2', Eze E. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 16).

Recent matches Pendikspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ankaragücü is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pendikspor won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Pendikspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
06.04.25	Umraniyespor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Pendikspor - Çorum	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Manisa FK - Pendikspor	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Pendikspor - Amed SK	0:1 ✺
06.03.25	Erzurumspor - Pendikspor	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLLW
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish First League
06.04.25	Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği	0:3 ✺
31.03.25	Erokspor - Ankaragücü	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Ankaragücü - Igdirspor	0:4 ✺
10.03.25	Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	Ankaragücü - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
01.12.24	Ankaragücü - Pendikspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
18.05.24	Ankaragücü - Pendikspor	0:0
25.12.23	Pendikspor - Ankaragücü	1:1
Club Friendly
27.07.23	Pendikspor - Ankaragücü	2:3

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