Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 29

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Kocaelispor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.75
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.57	3.91	6.05
	1.58	3.79	5.94	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.82	5.71
	1.6	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	3.79 ↑ (3.52)	5.59 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
58.8%

Draw
24.6%

Ankaragücü
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.4%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

25.5%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: Kocaelispor will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (G) 15. Serbest T. 41. Oztonga O. 88. Osmanpasa C. 19. Gedik E. 6. Pedrinho 72. Rivas R. 8. Celik C. 23. Yalcin S. 17. Caglayan O. 10. Marcao	25. Ozbir E. (G) 24. Aktas O. 4. Cetin M. 3. Pehlivan I. 23. Guneren A. K. 21. Tekdemir M. 88. Celik O. 26. Schulz N. 22. Rotariu D. 7. Owusu 9. Bajic R.
Substitutes
70. Alici B. 3. Cinan M. 18. Gedik F. 91. Gocen A. (G) 9. Sagat A. 34. Sen B. (G) 45. Tunali M. 4. Vukovic J. 32. Yilmaz M.	19. Astanakulov S. 29. Cephas R. 5. Coelho D. 16. Cokcalis I. 11. Dalcio 1. Ersu E. (G) 40. Gultekin Y. 10. Rakoczy M. 70. Tepecik E. 6. Turkmen C.
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Dalci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Serbest T. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Owusu ⚽, Rotariu D. (A),
35', Osmanpasa C. 🟨,
43', Celik C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gedik E. ↓, Cinan M. ↑,
46', Celik C. ↓, Vukovic J. ↑,
61', Bajic R. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
61', Yalcin S. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
69', Guneren A. K. ↓, Cokcalis I. ↑,
69', Schulz N. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
72', Oztonga O. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
76', Ozbir E. 🟨,
76', Caglayan O. ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Marcao ⚽, Alici B. (A),
82', Rotariu D. 🟨,
90+2', Cokcalis I. 🟨,
90+4', Celik O. ↓, Gultekin Y. ↑,
90+4', Owusu ↓, Astanakulov S. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 15).

Kocaelispor is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ankaragücü is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kocaelispor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
06.03.25	Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	Kocaelispor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
25.02.25	Kırklarelispor - Kocaelispor	1:3 ✺
Turkish First League
22.02.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Kocaelispor - Çorum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTWTW
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish First League
06.03.25	Ankaragücü - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Adanaspor - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
26.02.25	Ankaragücü - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish First League
22.02.25	Ankaragücü - Bandırmaspor	4:0 ✺
17.02.25	Sakaryaspor - Ankaragücü	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
26.10.24	Ankaragücü - Kocaelispor	4:2
15.01.22	Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü	1:2
22.08.21	Ankaragücü - Kocaelispor	0:0
Turkish Cup
03.11.20	Ankaragücü - Kocaelispor	1:2

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