Match Info

1. Lig - Round 31

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Aksuoğlu F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.63	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.5
	2.7	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.7	3.02	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.5
	2.69	3.07	2.69	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.46)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	2.65 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
35.4%

Draw
29.7%

Ankaragücü
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.2%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Erokspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erokspor: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kilicarslan E. (G) 77. Ceylan O. 5. Aytac S. 16. Yasar A. 15. Nzaba F. 53. Albayrak M. 26. Jack R. 4. Kacar T. 8. Karaman A. 78. Fernandes J. 12. Kayode O.	25. Ozbir E. (G) 23. Guneren A. K. 77. Bilazer H. 24. Aktas O. 11. Dalcio 26. Schulz N. 29. Cephas R. 88. Celik O. 21. Tekdemir M. 7. Owusu 94. Laura G.
Substitutes
10. Akyol U. 9. Catakovic H. 11. Faye M. 99. Furat E. I. 98. Kafkasyali E. (G) 20. Keser B. 3. Korkmazoglu E. 6. Laine J. 14. Mert M. 21. Oscar Pinchi	19. Astanakulov S. 4. Cetin M. 5. Coelho D. 16. Cokcalis I. 1. Ersu E. (G) 30. Kesik M. 10. Rakoczy M. 22. Rotariu D. 90. Simsek M. 6. Turkmen C.
Coaches
Korkmaz B.	Dalci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Fernandes J. ⚽, Aytac S. (A),
24', Kacar T. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Yasar A. (Own goal),
35', 2 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),
35', Celik O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Aktas O. 🟨,
55', Bilazer H. ↓, Rakoczy M. ↑,
58', Owusu 🟨,
59', Kilicarslan E. 🟨,
64', Ceylan O. ↓, Mert M. ↑,
64', Jack R. ↓, Laine J. ↑,
64', Aktas O. ↓, Cetin M. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Fernandes J. ⚽,
71', Dalcio ↓, Turkmen C. ↑,
71', Cephas R. ↓, Rotariu D. ↑,
74', Cetin M. 🟥,
81', Kayode O. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
82', Kacar T. ↓, Oscar Pinchi ↑,
82', Fernandes J. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Erokspor: Orak F. (Yellow Cards)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Erokspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
14.03.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Erokspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Keçiörengücü - Erokspor	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Erokspor - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Pendikspor - Erokspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTTT
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish First League
15.03.25	Ankaragücü - Igdirspor	0:4 ✺
10.03.25	Kocaelispor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
06.03.25	Ankaragücü - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Adanaspor - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
26.02.25	Ankaragücü - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
08.11.24	Ankaragücü - Erokspor	3:0

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