Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 21

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Pendik Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Kaan Numanoglu T. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Pendikspor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.98
	3.65	3.9	1.88	Watch
	4.27	3.82	1.84
	3.8	3.81	1.99
	3.3	3.7	1.91
	3.68	3.89	2.01	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (4.4)	3.73 ↓ (4.2)	1.94 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pendikspor
25.8%

Draw
25.4%

Beşiktaş
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

22.4%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

22%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pendikspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beşiktaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beşiktaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	2.8%	86.1%

Pendikspor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: Beşiktaş will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canpolat E. (G) 22. Ozgenc E. (C) 33. Ozturk A. 14. Rassoul J. K. 6. Sequeira 24. Akdag I. 18. Midtsjo F. 11. Akbunar H. 99. Yardimci E. 27. Thiam M. 17. Nayir U.	34. Gunok M. (G) 4. Bulut O. 5. Sanuc T. T. 75. Bingol T. 77. Meras U. 21. Tiknaz D. E. 11. Rashica M. 22. Zaynutdinov B. 83. Fernandes G. 90. Kilicsoy S. 9. Tosun C. (C)
Substitutes
13. Akca M. 61. Asan S. 78. Calik E. 8. Cekici E. 21. Diaby A. 70. Guney M. 7. Kappel L. 35. Ogur B. (G) 20. Sulungoz B. 34. Thuram	99. Bulut E. 1. Destanoglu E. (G) 18. Ghezzal R. 64. Hekimoglu M. E. 65. Kilinc Y. 40. Muleka J. 7. Rebic A. 2. Svensson J. 79. Terzi S. E. 20. Uysal N.
Coaches
Vieira I.	Santos F.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Pendikspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Beşiktaş is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pendikspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Beşiktaş will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Pendikspor: Koka (National selection)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Aboubakar V. (Muscle Injury) Amartey D. (National selection) Colley O. (National selection) Masuaku A. (National selection) Oxlade-Chamberlain A. (Thigh Injury) Uzunhan E. (Personal Reasons)

There are questionable in Pendikspor: Eze E. (Ankle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pendikspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pendikspor
Turkish Cup
17.01.24	Antalyaspor - Pendikspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Hatayspor - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
09.01.24	Pendikspor - Antalyaspor	0:1 ✺
05.01.24	Gaziantep - Pendikspor	2:2 ✺
25.12.23	Pendikspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTLTT
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Cup
16.01.24	Beşiktaş - Eyüpspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Beşiktaş - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0 ✺
09.01.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Beşiktaş	0:4 ✺
05.01.24	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	1:3 ✺
25.12.23	Hatayspor - Beşiktaş	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
20.08.23	Beşiktaş - Pendikspor	1:1
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Beşiktaş - Pendikspor	2:1

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