Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas)

Referee: Avci I. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sivasspor		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	6	Watch
	1.51	3.8	5.25
	1.41	4.56	6.18
	1.45	4.68	6.41
	1.69	3.77	4.60	Watch
	1.43	4.35	6.59
	1.53	3.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)	4.23 ↑ (3.94)	5.75 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sivasspor
62%

Draw
21.9%

Serik Belediyespor
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

23.6%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sivasspor's performance.

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Sivasspor - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Sivasspor (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Sivasspor (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sivasspor will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Vural A. (G) 7. Paluli M. 2. Appindangoye A. 20. Celik M. 58. Ciftci U. (C) 6. Yigiter O. 80. Celik C. 23. Kimpioka B. 15. Fidan K. 27. Ethemi V. 14. Boke T.	13. Demir I. (G) 22. Ceylan B. 4. Martynov A. 24. Gotsuk K. (C) 35. Isciler B. 3. Terzi E. 20. Dilli S. 10. Amaral J. 58. Asan B. 7. Berkovsky I. 9. Sadygov I.
Substitutes
22. Abdullah Cakmak A. 72. Avramovski D. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 5. Basyigit E. 8. Charisis C. 19. Gokay E. 17. Kesgin K. 12. Malle A. 90. Menderes C. 26. Yildirim M.	33. Akkan G. 79. Altiparmak G. 89. Celenk E. 19. Cetin S. 34. Ersu E. (G) 11. Karadeniz G. 70. Ozcan S. 16. Sen K. 2. Tashkyn S. 25. Yuran A.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Yuran S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Sadygov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fidan K. ↓, Charisis C. ↑,
46', Sadygov I. ↓, Altiparmak G. ↑,
54', Berkovsky I. 🟨,
63', Kimpioka B. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
65', Amaral J. ↓, Celenk E. ↑,
66', Terzi E. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
67', Boke T. 🟨,
77', Charisis C. 🟨,
78', Dilli S. ↓, Cetin S. ↑,
78', Berkovsky I. ↓, Yuran A. ↑,
82', Celik M. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
90+3', Ciftci U. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sivasspor is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Luan (Red Card) Pritchard A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Karakaya B. (Inactive) Kok D. (Inactive) Yucedag E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sivasspor: Menderes C. (Finger Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
29.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Vanspor - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Sivasspor - Sarıyer	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Pendikspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWTWL
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
28.09.25	Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Çorum - Serik Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Serik Belediyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Igdirspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Serik Belediyespor - Bodrumspor	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 TTWWL

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