Match Info
Campionato Sammarinese - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 5 May 2026, Tuesday
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Folgore |
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Domagnano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.55 |
3.85 |
4.65 |
 Watch |
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1.59 |
3.74 |
4.62 |
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1.64 |
3.73 |
4.8 |
Watch |
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1.69 |
3.91 |
4.52 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.51) |
3.81 ↓
(4.08) |
4.65 ↓
(5.07) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Folgore
56.4% | Draw
24% | Domagnano
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Domagnano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (-2.3%)Folgore - Domagnano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 31', 0 - 1, Bonetti M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Guglielmi F. ⚽, Bonetti M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 76', 0 - 3, Bonetti M. ⚽, Santi S. (A),
- 87', 1 - 3, Garcia Rufer A. ⚽, Ura R. (A),
Preview
First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 4.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Folgore is considered a favorite.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 12 |
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| 6 | Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| San Marino Campionato Sammarinese | | | 02.05.26 | Domagnano - Folgore | 0:1 | | 25.04.26 | Domagnano - Folgore | 3:7 | | 11.02.26 | Folgore - Domagnano | 2:1 | | 26.04.25 | Folgore - Domagnano | 0:4 | | 11.01.25 | Domagnano - Folgore | 0:1 | | 03.02.24 | Domagnano - Folgore | 1:0 | | 04.10.23 | Folgore - Domagnano | 1:1 |
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