Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 1

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tre Fiori		Pennarossa

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.80	6.25
	1.42	3.95	6.1
	1.45	4.24	5.32
	1.49	4.24	5.58	Watch
	1.43	4.15	5.25
	1.52	4.54	5.24
	1.42	3.95	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.27)	4.12 ↓ (5.2)	5.68 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Fiori
62.1%

Draw
21.9%

Pennarossa
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

17.6%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Fiori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tre Fiori's form might have worsened.

Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pennarossa's recent form is better than expected.

Tre Fiori - Pennarossa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 1 - 0, Prandelli M. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Belward S. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Prandelli M. ⚽,
58', 3 - 1, Benedettini F. ⚽,
71', 4 - 1, Benedettini F. ⚽, Sirri A. (A),
81', 4 - 2, Calderone A. ⚽, Abouzziane S. (A),
85', 5 - 2, Ben Kacem M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 2.

Recent form of Tre Fiori has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tre Fiori may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tre Fiori is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tre Fiori won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:8. (average 2.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tre Fiori won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:4. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tre Fiori	4	3	0	1	14:5	9	9
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	7:16	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Tre Fiori
San Marino Super Cup
25.08.26	Tre Fiori - La Fiorita	3:2 penalties ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Drita Gjilan - Tre Fiori	5:0 ✺
06.08.26	Tre Fiori - Drita Gjilan	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Larne - Tre Fiori	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Tre Fiori - Larne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL
- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
29.04.26	Cosmos - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Tre Fiori - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pennarossa - Juvenes-Dogana	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Cosmos - Pennarossa	0:1 ✺
07.04.26	Cailungo - Pennarossa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
26.04.26	Tre Fiori - Pennarossa	1:1
11.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	0:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
21.10.25	Tre Fiori - Pennarossa	3:0
24.09.25	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	1:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
15.03.25	Tre Fiori - Pennarossa	3:0
24.11.24	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	1:6
03.02.24	Tre Fiori - Pennarossa	3:0

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