Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 25Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
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Peralada |
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Lleida |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.95 |
2.82 |
4.15 |
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1.95 |
2.79 |
4.4 |
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1.00 |
19.51 |
25.00 |
Watch |
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2 |
2.7 |
4 |
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1.94 |
2.77 |
4.45 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↓ (1.85) |
6.12 ↑ (3.1) |
8.4 ↑ (4.19) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Peralada 66.7% | Draw 19.3% | Lleida 14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peralada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peralada's performance.Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lleida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peralada than the current prediction. (-17.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peralada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lleida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Peralada - Lleida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Romero S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 64', 2 - 0, Gallo ⚽,
- 76', 3 - 0, Bah M. ⚽,
- 79', Litwin S. 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. Peralada might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peralada won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Peralada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Peralada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;