The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lleida 29.4%
Draw 32.5%
Manresa 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
29.4%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
29.3%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manresa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manresa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lleida - Manresa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lleida won 1.
Lleida has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Manresa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Manresa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lleida won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Lleida won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).