Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Peralada		Sant Andreu

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.75	2.37
	2.69	2.68	2.73
	2.78	2.62	3
	2.85	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3)	2.79 ↓ (3.4)	2.61 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peralada
32.5%

Draw
32.7%

Sant Andreu
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

26.9%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

27.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peralada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sant Andreu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sant Andreu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peralada than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sant Andreu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peralada won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Peralada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Peralada won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Peralada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Peralada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.04.23	Peralada - UE Sants	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Rapitenca - Peralada	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Peralada - Castelldefels	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Peralada - Pobla de Mafumet	3:1 ✺
25.03.23	Tona - Peralada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLWW
- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
23.04.23	Grama - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Sant Andreu - Vilafranca	2:3 ✺
09.04.23	Girona B - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Sant Andreu - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Montañesa - Sant Andreu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
22.01.23	Sant Andreu - Peralada	1:1
25.09.22	Peralada - Sant Andreu	1:3
06.03.22	Peralada - Sant Andreu	0:1
31.10.21	Sant Andreu - Peralada	2:0
14.02.21	Sant Andreu - Peralada	0:0
10.11.19	Sant Andreu - Peralada	1:2

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