Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 2

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Tullio Saleri (Lumezzane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Lumezzane		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.85	2.65
	2.58	2.88	2.78
	2.75	2.92	2.73
	13.29	3.76	1.36	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.7
	2.61	2.83	2.68	Watch
	2.28	3.08	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (2.27)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	2.56 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
25.3%

Draw
34.3%

Pergolettese
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lumezzane's form might have worsened.

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pergolettese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lumezzane, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pergolettese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lumezzane - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filigheddu S. (G) 77. Diodato S. 2. Deratti J. 17. De Marino D. 3. Pagliari M. 4. Paghera F. 41. Scanzi M. 19. Rolando M. 10. Malotti M. 21. Iori M. 20. Caccavo L.	1. Cordaro L. (G) 27. Aidoo M. 13. Benvenuto M. 14. Lambrughi A. 33. Capoferri M. 6. Dore S. 4. Arini M. 21. Careccia S. 10. Ferrandino D. 11. Corti N. 9. Parker S.
Substitutes
22. Bonardi F. (G) 5. D'Agostino S. 9. Donnarumma A. 50. Drago G. (G) 7. Ferro M. 29. Gallea F. 11. Ghillani A. 23. Moscati M. 95. Motta M. 27. Napolitano G. 14. Rihai A. 39. Serpa A. 76. Simoncelli F.	28. Antolini J. 26. Bane A. 22. Doldi F. (G) 12. Finardi E. (G) 80. Jaouhari Z. 72. Padalino A. 77. Pessolani G. 76. Roversi L. M. 99. Sartori F. 7. Tomaselli G. 20. Tremolada M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Rolando M. ⚽,
18', Benvenuto M. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Parker S. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Careccia S. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Benvenuto M. ↓, Bane A. ↑,
46', Pagliari M. ↓, Motta M. ↑,
46', Corti N. ↓, Pessolani G. ↑,
63', Dore S. ↓, Tremolada M. ↑,
64', Caccavo L. ↓, Donnarumma A. ↑,
64', Iori M. ↓, Ghillani A. ↑,
64', Scanzi M. ↓, D'Agostino S. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Ghillani A. ⚽,
72', Bane A. 🟨,
75', Ferrandino D. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
84', Rolando M. ↓, Napolitano G. ↑,
84', Parker S. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
87', Tomaselli G. 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, Tremolada M. ⚽,
90+6', Filigheddu S. 🟨,

Preview

Lumezzane has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pergolettese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
24.08.25	Vicenza Virtus - Lumezzane	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Lumezzane - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Lumezzane - Mantova	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Lumezzane - Pro Palazzolo	1:3 ✺
31.07.25	Lumezzane - Breno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTLT
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
24.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Pergolettese - Renate	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Pergolettese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0 ✺
06.08.25	Pergolettese - Brusaporto	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Pergolettese - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.25	Pergolettese - Lumezzane	1:0
29.10.24	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	0:2
14.01.24	Pergolettese - Lumezzane	0:1
10.09.23	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.01.18	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	1:1

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