Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 27

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Pergolettese		Sangiuliano City Nova

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.65
	2.2	3	3
	2.59	2.97	2.75
	2.45	2.8	2.88
	2.57	3.05	2.71	Watch
	2.45	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.11)	2.97 ↑ (2.7)	2.8 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
37.1%

Draw
30.5%

Sangiuliano City Nova
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

33.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

32.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pergolettese's form might have worsened.

Sangiuliano City Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sangiuliano City Nova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pergolettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sangiuliano City Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Pergolettese - Sangiuliano City Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pergolettese will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sangiuliano City will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Pergolettese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sangiuliano City Nova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pergolettese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
05.02.23	Padova - Pergolettese	0:3 ✺
01.02.23	Pergolettese - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Pergolettese - FeralpiSalò	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLTLL
- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie C Group A
05.02.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Lecco	1:0 ✺
01.02.23	Piacenza - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Pordenone - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Trento	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.10.22	Sangiuliano City Nova - Pergolettese	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Pergolettese - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:3

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