Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 32

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio


	Padova		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.6	9.25
	1.62	3.5	5.6
	1.67	3.36	5.91	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.59	3.38	5.74	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.31)	3.61 ↓ (4.53)	6.18 ↓ (10.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
59.3%

Draw
25.7%

Pergolettese
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Padova's form might have worsened.

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pergolettese's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	5.9%	23.5%

Padova - Pergolettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Pergolettese will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Padova: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 72. Faedo C. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 26. Kirwan N. 7. Varas K. 6. Crisetig L. . Favale G. 92. Buonaiuto C. 30. Valente N. 20. Bortolussi M.	1. Cordaro L. (G) 2. Tonoli D. 15. Stante F. 14. Lambrughi A. 33. Capoferri M. 4. Arini M. 16. Albertini A. 80. Jaouhari Z. 21. Careccia S. 19. Basili D. 9. Parker S.
Substitutes
4. Belli F. 15. Bianchi N. 17. Capelli A. 11. Cretella C. 8. Fusi P. 23. Granata A. 21. Liguori M. 37. Montrone A. 31. Pirrello R. 10. Russini S. 16. Sala A. (G) 9. Spagnoli A. 77. Tumiatti F. 14. Villa L. 12. Voltan M. (G)	29. Abati L. (G) 70. Abubakar S. 90. Anelli N. 5. Bignami R. 11. Cerasani J. 47. Di Biase G. 12. Dordoni S. (G) 34. Olivieri E. 28. Patane N. 20. Pietrelli R. 17. Scarsella F. 24. Schiavini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Parker S. ⚽,
33', Stante F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Perrotta M. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Bortolussi M. (Pen),
54', Faedo C. 🟨,
57', Lambrughi A. 🟨,
60', Valente N. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
62', Careccia S. ↓, Scarsella F. ↑,
62', Basili D. ↓, Patane N. ↑,
69', Lambrughi A. 🟥,
71', Albertini A. ↓, Bignami R. ↑,
74', Faedo C. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
81', Capoferri M. ↓, Olivieri E. ↑,
81', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Abubakar S. ↑,
84', Patane N. 🟨,
90+3', Kirwan N. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Buonaiuto C. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Padova is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Padova: Belli F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Pergolettese: Dordoni S. (Inactive) Lecchi M. (Inactive)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Padova won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.25	Renate - Padova	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	FeralpiSalò - Padova	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Padova - Giana Erminio	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Vicenza Virtus - Padova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWT
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.25	Pergolettese - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Triestina - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Pergolettese - Lecco	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	Trento - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Pergolettese - Novara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.11.24	Pergolettese - Padova	1:2
28.03.24	Padova - Pergolettese	2:1
27.11.23	Pergolettese - Padova	1:1
11.05.23	Padova - Pergolettese	1:0
05.02.23	Padova - Pergolettese	0:3
09.10.22	Pergolettese - Padova	5:0
01.02.22	Pergolettese - Padova	0:1

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