Match Info

INDONESIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 6

Date: 4 August 2023, Friday

Location: Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya)


	Persebaya Surabaya		Persikabo 1973

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.72	3.6	3.8
	1.72	4.05	3.98
	1.68	3.86	4.3	Watch
	1.74	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.51)	3.81 ↓ (4.2)	4.21 ↓ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persebaya Surabaya
54.3%

Draw
24%

Persikabo 1973
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.5%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persebaya Surabaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Persebaya Surabaya's form might have worsened.

Persikabo 1973 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Persebaya Surabaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persikabo 1973 than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Persebaya Surabaya - Persikabo 1973 Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Persebaya will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Persikabo 1973 will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Persebaya: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ari E. (G) 77. Botan K. 5. Stevanovic D. 23. Raditya K. 3. Adi R. (C) 36. Wahyudi R. 7. Song Ui-young 14. Yamamoto S. 6. Iqbal M. 99. Bruno 9. Paulo Victor	33. Al Malik H. (G) 4. Lasinari S. 15. Kovacevic N. 13. Wahyu D. 18. Kemaluddin M. 12. Sugeng R. 7. Yamazaki K. 93. Pedrinho (C) 9. Komarodin K. 11. Varela J. 99. Munawar Y.
Substitutes
24. Alfarid S. 16. Brown G. 22. Dwiyan R. 68. Firmansyah T. 50. Kandaimu Y. 8. Oktaviansyah A. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 20. Ramdhani W. 74. Setiawan D. 17. Sinaga F.	17. Bailey K. 20. Dicky M. (G) 5. Fathurahman I. 77. Hidayat R. 87. Ihsan F. 8. Irfana R. 22. Munadi 28. Oktavianto L. 14. Rafael Conrado 66. Rifai S.
Coaches
Santoso A.	Kuzmenok O.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Persebaya Surabaya won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Persebaya Surabaya is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Persebaya Surabaya won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Persebaya Surabaya won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
30.07.23	Persija Jakarta - Persebaya Surabaya	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Persebaya Surabaya - RANS Nusantara	2:2 ✺
16.07.23	PSIS Semarang - Persebaya Surabaya	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Persebaya Surabaya - Barito Putera	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	Persis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTW
- Persikabo 1973
Indonesian Super League
28.07.23	Persikabo 1973 - Persita Tangerang	2:2 ✺
22.07.23	Bhayangkara - Persikabo 1973	1:3 ✺
14.07.23	Persikabo 1973 - PSM Makassar	0:1 ✺
09.07.23	Persikabo 1973 - Persija Jakarta	0:0 ✺
03.07.23	RANS Nusantara - Persikabo 1973	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
25.03.23	Persebaya Surabaya - Persikabo 1973	3:2
25.07.22	Persikabo 1973 - Persebaya Surabaya	1:0
10.01.22	Persikabo 1973 - Persebaya Surabaya	2:3
11.09.21	Persebaya Surabaya - Persikabo 1973	3:1
09.11.19	Persikabo 1973 - Persebaya Surabaya	2:2
21.07.19	Persebaya Surabaya - Persikabo 1973	1:1
Indonesian President Cup
29.03.19	Persebaya Surabaya - Persikabo 1973	3:1

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