Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Jatidiri Stadium (Semarang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	PSIS Semarang		Persebaya Surabaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.25	3.15	2.09	Watch
	3.56	3.2	2.19
	3.52	3.17	2.15	Watch
	3.39	3.14	2.06	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.82)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	2.11 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSIS Semarang
27.3%

Draw
29.1%

Persebaya Surabaya
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

28.8%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSIS Semarang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSIS Semarang's form might have worsened.

Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persebaya Surabaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

PSIS Semarang - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Semarang will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Persebaya will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Trisna S. (G) 25. Ferizal S. 6. Lucas 5. Ferrari J. 27. Zalnando 19. Dewangga A. 21. Diarra B. 68. Setiawan T. 7. Paulo Gali 29. David M. (C) 80. Skandari T.	52. Ramadhani A. (G) 2. Catur A. 23. Raditya K. 15. Damjanovic S. 25. Tata M. 7. Rivera F. 74. Rashid M. 6. Costa G. 10. Bruno (C) 9. Rizky D. 17. Silva F.
Substitutes
3. Alhafiz H. 45. Buddin S. 52. Darmawan R. (G) 72. Febrianatta Z. 94. Fernandinho 57. Madilesa F. 12. Rahman A. 24. Ramdhani W. 20. Scheunemann B. 56. Syuhada R.	64. Arya A. (G) 77. Botan K. 27. Fernando O. 3. Idrus A. 32. Lauhim R. 18. May R. 8. Oktaviansyah A.
Coaches
Agius G.	Munster P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Catur A. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Silva F. ⚽, Rivera F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', David M. ↓, Ramdhani W. ↑,
61', Skandari T. ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
61', Setiawan T. ↓, Syuhada R. ↑,
62', Tata M. ↓, Idrus A. ↑,
68', Catur A. ↓, Lauhim R. ↑,
70', Syuhada R. 🟨,
76', Ferizal S. ↓, Buddin S. ↑,
78', Costa G. 🟨,
79', Costa G. ↓, Oktaviansyah A. ↑,
79', Rizky D. ↓, Botan K. ↑,
88', Lucas ↓, Rahman A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Semarang won 1.

Semarang has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Persebaya Surabaya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Persebaya Surabaya will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Semarang won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:13 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Semarang won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Super League
23.10.24	Madura United - PSIS Semarang	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	PSIS Semarang - Persija Jakarta	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	PSIS Semarang - Arema	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	PSM Makassar - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Persib Bandung - PSIS Semarang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL
- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
23.10.24	Persebaya Surabaya - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Persib Bandung - Persebaya Surabaya	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Dewa United	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persebaya Surabaya	0:1 ✺
18.09.24	Persebaya Surabaya - Persis Solo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
30.01.24	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIS Semarang	1:1
16.07.23	PSIS Semarang - Persebaya Surabaya	2:0
29.03.23	PSIS Semarang - Persebaya Surabaya	1:2
23.08.22	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIS Semarang	1:0
02.02.22	PSIS Semarang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0
03.10.21	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIS Semarang	2:3
20.09.19	PSIS Semarang - Persebaya Surabaya	0:4

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