Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium (Surabaya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Persebaya Surabaya		Persijap Jepara

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.05	Watch
	1.74	3.98	4.12	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.67	3.58	4.48
	1.68	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.96)	3.68 ↑ (3.67)	4.21 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persebaya Surabaya
53.6%

Draw
24.8%

Persijap Jepara
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persebaya Surabaya's performance.

Persijap Jepara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persijap Jepara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Persebaya Surabaya - Persijap Jepara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Persebaya (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Persijap (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Persebaya Surabaya will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Persebaya Surabaya will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Persebaya (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Persijap (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ari E. (G) 33. Araya K. 24. Lelis L. S. 5. Mitrevski R. 53. Irianto R. 7. Rivera F. 88. Raickovic M. 68. Firmansyah T. 77. Malik R. 99. Diego Mauricio 10. Bruno (C)	20. Johansah S. (G) 6. Sakyi E. 26. Brito D. 4. Afriyanto F. 55. Yakubu N. 33. Hamisi W. 71. Fadlillah A. 77. Hidayat R. 32. Gomez A. 95. Franca Carlos 11. Sudi A. (C)
Substitutes
81. Baihaqi M. 2. Catur A. 4. Dimov D. 8. Fernando O. 22. Freitas Gali 18. May R. 11. Perovic M. 23. Raditya K. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 9. Rizky D. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.	23. Akbar R. 37. Alamsah Z. 19. Ardiana A. 66. Dicky Kurniawan 7. Indra Arya 70. Kallon P. 17. Ramadhan F. 10. Rosalvo 21. Saepul R. 99. Sanggasi S. (G)
Coaches
Tavares B.	Alves D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Firmansyah T. 🟨,
25', Gomez A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Bruno (Penalty Awarded),
38', 2 - 0, Lelis L. S. ⚽, Rivera F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fadlillah A. ↓, Indra Arya ↑,
46', Hidayat R. ↓, Ramadhan F. ↑,
51', Sakyi E. 🟨,
51', Rivera F. 🟨,
61', Araya K. ↓, Catur A. ↑,
61', Diego Mauricio ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
70', Malik R. ↓, Freitas Gali ↑,
75', Sudi A. ↓, Dicky Kurniawan ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Rivera F. ⚽,
85', 4 - 0, Perovic M. ⚽, Bruno (A),
87', Rivera F. ↓, Fernando O. ↑,
87', Firmansyah T. ↓, Baihaqi M. ↑,
89', Raickovic M. 🟨,
90+3', Gomez A. ↓, Saepul R. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Persebaya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Persijap Jepara has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Persijap Jepara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Persebaya is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Persebaya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
20.12.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Bhayangkara - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Arema	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Persik Kediri - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTTTT
- Persijap Jepara
Indonesian Super League
23.12.25	Persijap Jepara - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:1 ✺
27.11.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persijap Jepara	3:2 ✺
20.11.25	Persijap Jepara - Semen Padang	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Madura United - Persijap Jepara	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Persijap Jepara - Java United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Premier League
04.07.13	Persijap Jepara - Persebaya Surabaya	1:0

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