Match Info

Championship - Round 7

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Tri Sanja Stadium (Tegal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Persekat Tegal		PSPS Riau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.81	3.6	4.13
	2.29	3.50	2.70	Watch
	1.81	3.36	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.29)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	3.62 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persekat Tegal
47.4%

Draw
26.8%

PSPS Riau
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

26.9%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persekat Tegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persekat Tegal's performance.

PSPS Riau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSPS Riau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persekat Tegal than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persekat Tegal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSPS Riau than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSPS Riau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Persekat Tegal - PSPS Riau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Persekat will win (votes: 2 - 50%). PSPS Riau will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Firmansyah F. D. (G) 10. Chocolate 34. Damara F. 96. Iuri 9. Kaio Lucas 26. Mandosir E. 6. Rama A. R. 11. Samsudin 29. Susilo J. 19. Syahertian K. 8. Taufiq M. (C)	78. Darmawan M. (G) 9. Adytia Y. 7. Cristian Santos 48. Faris A. (C) 97. Fathoni I. 6. Khairullah Z. 93. Lestaluhu I. 18. Santoso N. 29. Selang R. 25. Tuasalamony A. 17. Yasir M.
Substitutes
79. Alparedo G. 37. Aulia W. 14. Fitra Y. 28. Karenano R. 12. Lesmana I. 27. Maulana I. 15. Maulana S. 4. Mukhlis M. 61. Nurfaizi D. 32. Ramadani F. 20. Saputro R. 23. Zuhro M.	8. Agustin R. 24. Aronggear J. 15. Firdaus R. 22. Hari Nur 10. Kurbonboev J. 19. Mahendra I. 55. Setyo E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Santoso N. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Kaio Lucas ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, Cristian Santos ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Kaio Lucas ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Hari Nur ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Hari Nur ⚽,
88', Mandosir E. 🟨,
90+13', Khairullah Z. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Championship (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ))

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persekat Tegal
Indonesian Championship
17.10.25	Sriwijaya - Persekat Tegal	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Sumsel United - Persekat Tegal	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Persekat Tegal - Isenmulang Kalteng	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Persekat Tegal - Adhyaksa Bekasi	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Garudayaksa - Persekat Tegal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTTL
- PSPS Riau
Indonesian Championship
18.10.25	PSPS Riau - Sumsel United	1:1 ✺
10.10.25	PSPS Riau - Sriwijaya	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Persikad Depok - PSPS Riau	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	Garudayaksa - PSPS Riau	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	PSPS Riau - PSMS Medan	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLTT

Persekat Tegal - PSPS Riau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide