Match Info

IRAN: PERSIAN GULF PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)


	Persepolis		Naft Masjed Soleyman

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.8	8.5
	1.27	5.15	9.28
	1.32	4.2	9
	1.3	4.85	9	Watch
	1.31	4.8	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.62)	4.76 ↑ (3.41)	8.88 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Persepolis
70.4%

Draw
19.3%

Naft Masjed Soleyman
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26.8%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Persepolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Persepolis's performance.

Naft Masjed Soleyman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naft Masjed Soleyman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Persepolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Masjed Soleyman than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naft Masjed Soleyman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Persepolis - Naft Masjed Soleyman Predictions

Users Predictions: Persepolis will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Persepolis won 4.

Recent matches Persepolis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Naft Masjed Soleyman is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Naft Masjed Soleyman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Persepolis is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Persepolis won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Persepolis won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Persepolis FC
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.02.23	Sepahan - Persepolis	2:4 ET ✺
Iran Pro League
13.02.23	Persepolis - Havadar	0:1 ✺
08.02.23	Sanat Naft - Persepolis	1:2 ✺
01.02.23	Persepolis - Aluminium Arak	0:0 ✺
27.01.23	Foolad Khuzestan - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTL
- Naft Masjed Soleyman
Iran Pro League
14.02.23	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Sanat Naft	0:0 ✺
07.02.23	Esteghlal - Naft Masjed Soleyman	3:1 ✺
02.02.23	Paykan - Naft Masjed Soleyman	0:0 ✺
27.01.23	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Havadar	0:0 ✺
20.01.23	Mes Kerman - Naft Masjed Soleyman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
10.09.22	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Persepolis	1:2
11.03.22	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Persepolis	1:2
29.11.21	Persepolis - Naft Masjed Soleyman	1:0
18.03.21	Persepolis - Naft Masjed Soleyman	2:1
26.11.20	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Persepolis	0:0
24.07.20	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Persepolis	1:2
22.11.19	Persepolis - Naft Masjed Soleyman	0:1

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