Match Info

A-League Women - Round 8

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Sam Kerr Football Centre (Perth)

Referee: Kelly S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Perth Glory		Adelaide United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.15
	2.82	3.35	2.18
	2.91	3.7	2.29
	2.94	3.65	2.23	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.91	3.38	2.17	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.3)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	2.2 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth Glory
32%

Draw
26.4%

Adelaide United
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.4%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

23.6%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth Glory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Perth Glory - Adelaide United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Perth Glory (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morrissey T. (G) 6. Mckenna T. 2. Anderson M. 24. Sardo J. 5. Johnston G. 23. Dalton I. (C) 8. Cassidy G. 28. Westaway C. 12. Trew B. 9. Hollar G. 17. Badawiya R.	21. Jenkins C. (G) 17. Tolland Z. 3. McNamara M. 13. Tonkin E. (C) 2. Hodgson E. 6. Taranto M. 9. Zois P. 15. Taranto A. 22. Healy E. 8. Condon E. 10. Dawber C.
Substitutes
25. Lincoln E. 19. O'Donoghue S. 10. Phonsongkham S. 30. Skinner J. (G) 3. Tovar E. 27. Wainwright C.	19. Bowler K. 27. Dewey S. 25. Gooch L. 30. Melegh I. (G) 4. Murray H. 12. Rossi C.
Coaches
Peters S.	Tsiounis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Sardo J. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Badawiya R. ⚽, Trew B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Trew B. ↓, Phonsongkham S. ↑,
58', Dalton I. ↓, Tovar E. ↑,
67', Taranto M. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
71', Hollar G. ↓, Lincoln E. ↑,
71', Westaway C. ↓, O'Donoghue S. ↑,
74', Condon E. ↓, Bowler K. ↑,
78', Cassidy G. ↓, Wainwright C. ↑,
79', O'Donoghue S. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth Glory won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Perth Glory may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Perth Glory won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Perth Glory won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth Glory Women
Australian A-League Women
12.12.25	Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Canberra United - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
14.11.25	Sydney FC - Perth Glory	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLL
- Adelaide United Women
Australian A-League Women
13.12.25	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	1:3 ✺
14.11.25	Adelaide United - Canberra United	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Adelaide United - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
07.02.25	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	3:0
15.12.24	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	3:1
27.01.24	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	2:1
11.11.23	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	2:1
10.03.23	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	2:1
27.11.22	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	0:1
10.02.22	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	1:0

Perth Glory - Adelaide United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide