Match Info

A-League Women - Round 7

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Referee: Mossin I. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne Victory		Adelaide United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.8	3.95
	1.71	4.22	4.45
	1.69	4.2	4.29	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4
	1.67	3.78	4.22	Watch
	1.63	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.21)	3.95 ↑ (3.93)	4.19 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory
54.8%

Draw
23.2%

Adelaide United
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

24%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Victory's performance.

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Adelaide United will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Melbourne Victory (3.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Newbon C. (G) 3. Bunge C. 18. Morrison K. (C) 24. Pickett L. 5. Sakalis S. 6. Ray T. 10. Pollicina R. 66. Jancevski A. 16. White K. 23. Lowe R. 9. Furphy H.	21. Jenkins C. (G) 17. Tolland Z. 13. Tonkin E. 4. Murray H. 2. Hodgson E. 6. Taranto M. 9. Zois P. 11. Hodgson I. (C) 22. Healy E. 15. Taranto A. 10. Dawber C.
Substitutes
27. Curtis R. 11. Flannery N. 7. O'Grady E. 28. Techera S. 30. Woodward P. (G) 41. Young J.	8. Condon E. 27. Dewey S. 25. Gooch L. 7. Makris E. 30. Melegh I. (G) 12. Rossi C.
Coaches
Hopkins J.	Tsiounis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Lowe R. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
66', Taranto A. ↓, Makris E. ↑,
71', Ray T. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
76', Sakalis S. ↓, Flannery N. ↑,
77', Zois P. ↓, Dewey S. ↑,
77', Hodgson I. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
77', Dawber C. ↓, Rossi C. ↑,
90+2', Furphy H. ↓, Techera S. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 5.

Melbourne Victory has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melbourne Victory may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne Victory is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:28. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
05.12.25	Melbourne Victory - Canberra United	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW
- Adelaide United Women
Australian A-League Women
07.12.25	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	1:3 ✺
14.11.25	Adelaide United - Canberra United	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Adelaide United - Sydney FC	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
10.05.25	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	3:1
04.05.25	Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory	1:3
29.03.25	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	2:1
02.11.24	Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory	2:3
10.03.24	Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory	1:4
04.11.23	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	2:0
26.02.23	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	2:2

Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide