Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 23

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Balmoor (Peterhead)


	Peterhead		Forfar Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.7
	1.83	3.2	3.75
	1.87	3.25	3.7
	1.97	3.45	3.75
	1.82	3.45	4
	1.95	3.3	4
	1.91	3.51	3.82
	1.87	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.7)	3.35 ↓ (3.77)	3.8 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterhead
48.6%

Draw
27.3%

Forfar Athletic
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

23.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterhead's form might have worsened.

Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peterhead, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Peterhead - Forfar Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Peterhead will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Forfar will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oluyemi B. (G) 77. Barry M. 5. Brown J. 12. Brown J. 29. Dunne C. 4. Goldie C. 8. McCarthy A. 10. Shanks K. 17. Smith C. 87. Walker J. 16. Wilson D.	1. McCallum M. (G) 5. Allan M. 6. Hutchinson A. 2. Logan C. 7. MacLean R. 8. Malcolm B. 14. McLean R. 4. Morrison S. 16. Robson F. 20. Slater C. 3. Sweenie-Rowe M.
Substitutes
18. Brown J. 14. Carnwath A. 25. Colloty O. 21. Forrest D. 9. McAllister R. 1. McKenzie S. (G) 15. Ross S. 22. Ross S. 2. Strachan D.	25. Allan F. . Byrne 19. Cannon N. 11. Inglis K. 24. Lemon M. . McAllister 21. Paris Z. (G) 22. Rodden B. 17. Taylor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Shanks K. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Shanks K. (Pen),
38', Morrison S. 🟨,
42', MacLean R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 2 - 1, McLean R. ⚽, Morrison S. (A),
66', MacLean R. ↓, Byrne D. ↑,
67', Malcolm B. ↓, McAllister R. ↑,
74', McCarthy A. 🟨,
75', Dunne C. ↓, Colloty O. ↑,
75', Brown J. ↓, Strachan D. ↑,
76', Walker J. 🟨,
79', Hutchinson A. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
81', Barry M. 🟨,
83', Barry M. ↓, Forrest D. ↑,
84', Smith C. ↓, Ross S. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Byrne D. ⚽,
88', Sweenie-Rowe M. ↓, Cannon N. ↑,
90+3', Slater C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 2.

Recent matches Peterhead is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Forfar is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Peterhead is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Peterhead won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:29 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Peterhead won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:17 (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterhead
Scottish League Two
25.01.25	Spartans - Peterhead	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Peterhead - Stirling Albion	3:2 ✺
14.01.25	Peterhead - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Edinburgh City - Peterhead	0:1 ✺
28.12.24	Elgin City - Peterhead	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL
- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
25.01.25	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Cove Rangers - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
11.01.25	Forfar Athletic - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	East Fife - Forfar Athletic	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Forfar Athletic - Stirling Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
17.12.24	Forfar Athletic - Peterhead	1:1
10.08.24	Peterhead - Forfar Athletic	2:1
13.04.24	Peterhead - Forfar Athletic	2:1
17.02.24	Forfar Athletic - Peterhead	3:3
23.12.23	Peterhead - Forfar Athletic	1:2
07.10.23	Forfar Athletic - Peterhead	1:3
Scottish League One
01.05.21	Peterhead - Forfar Athletic	1:2

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