Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 2

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ainslie Park (Edinburgh)


	Spartans		Peterhead

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.88
	2.85	3.2	2.15
	2.2	3.55	2.88
	2.24	3.53	2.91
	2.31	3.09	3.08	Watch
	2.9	3	2.2
	2.26	3.4	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (3.18)	3.31 ↓ (3.34)	2.71 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartans
38.2%

Draw
27.8%

Peterhead
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

27.4%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

27.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartans's performance.

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterhead might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterhead could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartans - Peterhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 1 - 0, Henderson B. ⚽, Craigen J. (A),
88', 1 - 1, McGuffie C. ⚽, Ross S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartans won 2.

Spartans is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peterhead's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Spartans won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartans won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartans FC
Scottish League Two
23.08.25	Spartans - Forfar Athletic	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Clyde - Spartans	1:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Cove Rangers - Spartans	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
09.08.25	Spartans - Dumbarton	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	East Kilbride - Spartans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWTLW
- Peterhead
Scottish League One
23.08.25	Peterhead - Cove Rangers	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Queen of the South - Peterhead	4:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Peterhead - Aberdeen 2	4:2 ✺
Scottish League One
09.08.25	Inverness - Peterhead	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Peterhead - East Fife	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
12.04.25	Peterhead - Spartans	1:0
25.01.25	Spartans - Peterhead	1:0
02.11.24	Peterhead - Spartans	2:1
24.08.24	Spartans - Peterhead	0:0
Scottish League One
11.05.24	Peterhead - Spartans	1:5
07.05.24	Spartans - Peterhead	2:1
Scottish League Two
27.04.24	Spartans - Peterhead	2:2

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