The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forfar Athletic 28.1%
Draw 26.3%
Elgin City 45.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
25%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
24.9%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
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X
2
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Forfar Athletic - Elgin City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 3rd in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forfar won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Elgin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Forfar has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Elgin is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Forfar has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:22 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Forfar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).