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Current Win Probability
Forfar Athletic 25.9%
Draw 25.8%
Elgin City 48.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.4%
25%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
24.9%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forfar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Forfar Athletic - Elgin City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Stafford N. (G) 14. Mailer A. (C) 4. Wyllie J. 5. Allan M. 15. Lemon M. 16. Arnott A. 19. Crombie E. 9. Shepherd S. 12. Alston B. 24. Hickey R. 22. Perrie L.
1. Ritchie T. (G) 5. Girvan K. 2. Neill M. 6. Murray J. 23. Grant M. 77. Scullion L. 10. Gallagher M. 12. Cairns O. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 9. Hester K. 22. MacIver J.
Substitutes
11. Brown A. 20. Haddow A. 2. Lynas A. 7. MacLean R. 10. Rennie M. 31. Simpson T. 26. Syme M. 25. Whatley M. 18. Wilson C.
25. Brown C. 11. Colloty O. 18. Cummings A. 14. Machado M. 24. Mackay L. 40. McHardy D. 27. Morrison J. (G) 19. Parmenter C. 17. Willox K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Hester K. ⚽, Murray J. (A),
23', Hickey R. 🟨,
38', Scullion L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Gallagher M. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
60', Hickey R. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
60', Arnott A. ↓, Haddow A. ↑,
65', Hester K. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
66', Alston B. ↓, Rennie M. ↑,
71', Shepherd S. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
71', Lemon M. ↓, Syme M. ↑,
82', Scullion L. ↓, Mackay L. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Perrie L. ⚽, Wilson C. (A),
85', 1 - 2, Dingwall R. ⚽,
89', Grant M. ↓, McHardy D. ↑,
89', Gallagher M. ↓, Cummings A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 3rd in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forfar won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Elgin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Forfar has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Elgin is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Forfar has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:22 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Forfar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).