Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PERNAMBUCANO - ROUND 5

Date: 26 January 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Cruz Recife		Caruaru City

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.6	9
	1.35	4	6.25
	1.29	4.5	8.8
	1.27	4.71	11.9
	1.29	4.2	11
	1.27	4.75	9.8
	1.3	4.6	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.46)	4.48 ↑ (3.98)	9.39 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
70.1%

Draw
20.2%

Caruaru City
9.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.8%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

20.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.

Caruaru City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caruaru City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caruaru City than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caruaru City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Cruz Recife - Caruaru City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Santa Cruz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Caruaru City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santa Cruz is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Club Friendly
23.01.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.01.23	Vitória Salvador - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
18.01.23	CA Porto - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	3:3 ✺
12.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTTT
- Caruaru City SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
19.01.23	Caruaru City - Retrô Brasil	0:4 ✺
15.01.23	Afogados da Ingazeira - Caruaru City	2:0 ✺
11.01.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Caruaru City	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Caruaru City - CA Porto	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.12.22	Campinense - Caruaru City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
19.03.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Caruaru City	3:0
29.01.22	Caruaru City - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2

Santa Cruz Recife - Caruaru City

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife - Caruaru City Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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