Match Info

BRAZIL: PERNAMBUCANO - ROUND 7

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Paulo Coelho (Petrolina)


	Petrolina		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.05
	3.5	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.91	2.83	2.07
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.75	3.08	1.98
	3.45	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (3.78)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	2.06 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrolina
25.8%

Draw
29.9%

Santa Cruz Recife
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

28.8%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

27.7%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrolina than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alan (G) 7. Acaua 2. Alex Travassos 6. Barbosa de Jesus R. 9. Damasceno D. 10. Eduardo 5. Elias Ceara 11. Emerson Galego 3. Mailson 16. Nildo Petrolina 4. Rafael Henriques	1. William (G) 15. Caio Mello 3. Freitas Barreto P. C. 7. Joao Diogo 6. Lucas Siqueira 13. Luis Felipe 10. Matheus Melo 9. Pedro Bortoluzo 4. Rafael Pereira 17. Thiaguinho 2. Toty
Substitutes
15. Alan Silva 17. Arthur Miranda 1. Cris (G) 8. Fabiano 18. Felipe 21. Hyago 19. Joao de Deus F. S. 13. Raykar 22. Rosales K. 20. Santos 14. Vinicinho	12. Andre Luiz (G) 5. Carlos Henrique 18. Claudinei 11. Felipe Cardoso 19. Gabriel Cardoso 8. Henrique Lordelo 14. Italo Melo 20. Joao Pedro 16. Joao Victor 21. Juan Tavares 22. Wellisson Ferreira

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Petrolina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Santa Cruz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Petrolina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Petrolina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrolina SFC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
31.01.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Petrolina	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Petrolina - Flamengo Arcoverde	1:1 ✺
25.01.24	Petrolina - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:2 ✺
21.01.24	Retrô Brasil - Petrolina	0:1 ✺
17.01.24	Maguary - Petrolina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTTWT
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
31.01.24	CA Porto - Santa Cruz Recife	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
17.01.24	Santa Cruz Recife - Flamengo Arcoverde	1:0 ✺
11.01.24	Santa Cruz Recife - Maguary	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
04.04.23	Petrolina - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 penalties
01.02.23	Petrolina - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0
18.01.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Petrolina	3:0
06.02.19	Petrolina - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2

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