The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juazeirense 31.5%
Draw 32.2%
Sergipe 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
27.7%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
27.6%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juazeirense's form might have worsened.
Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juazeirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Juazeirense - Sergipe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juazeirense won 3.
Juazeirense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sergipe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sergipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juazeirense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 0.7:0.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Juazeirense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).