Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 9

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday


	Petrópolis		Resende

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.7	2.5
	3.05	2.78	2.52
				Watch
	2.95	2.84	2.45
	3.2	2.85	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	2.47 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrópolis
30.5%

Draw
32.6%

Resende
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

31.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

32%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Petrópolis - Resende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Sassa ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Aldair ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent performances by Petrópolis have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Resende is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Petrópolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Petrópolis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Petrópolis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
22.06.25	Cabofriense - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
04.06.25	Petrópolis - Araruama	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	America RJ - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLTWT
- Resende FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
21.06.25	São Gonçalo - Resende	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Resende - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Pérolas Negras - Resende	0:1 ✺
04.06.25	Resende - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Araruama - Resende	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
25.05.24	Petrópolis - Resende	1:0
20.07.23	Petrópolis - Resende	1:0

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