The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Petřín Plzeň 31.9%
Draw 26.1%
Sokol Hostouň 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
26.3%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
25.7%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Petřín Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Sokol Hostouň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petřín Plzeň than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Hostouň than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Petřín Plzeň - Sokol Hostouň Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Suchy V. (G) 35. Bilik K. 24. Flachs J. 12. Kohout A. 88. Kruta M. 22. Novy L. (C) 8. Novy M. 4. Treml J. 30. Triska D. 36. Vanek J. 66. Zajicek P.
1. Pilny P. (G) 15. Bahi P. 5. Borkovec A. 3. Cizek D. (C) 10. Dieguinho 19. Hucek Z. 14. Klimenda D. 4. Lanc A. 8. Mikes F. 12. Mladek T. 6. Uhlir J.
Substitutes
13. Klich P. 20. Maxa L. 27. Pavlik J. 1. Petr O. (G) 9. Plzak P. 33. Trojanec M. 7. Vodrazka J.
9. Bohac D. 20. Cirlini F. 24. Hynek V. (G) 16. Kolar V. 11. Malishevskyy V. 18. Muller T. 21. Snobl M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Novy M. ⚽,
24', Bilik K. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Lanc A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Novy M. 🟨,
57', Vanek J. 🟨,
63', Mikes F. ↓, Bohac D. ↑,
70', Triska D. ↓, Klich P. ↑,
70', Bilik K. ↓, Trojanec M. ↑,
75', Dieguinho ↓, Kolar V. ↑,
75', Klimenda D. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
75', Bahi P. ↓, Snobl M. ↑,
77', Snobl M. 🟨,
83', Klich P. 🟨,
87', Flachs J. ↓, Plzak P. ↑,
87', Kruta M. ↓, Maxa L. ↑,
90+1', Trojanec M. 🟨,
90+2', Vanek J. ↓, Pavlik J. ↑,
90+2', Mladek T. ↓, Cirlini F. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 14).
Recent performances by Petřín Plzeň have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sokol Hostouň's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Petřín Plzeň may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Petřín Plzeň won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Petřín Plzeň won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Sokol Hostouň - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.13%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.